Financial Independence, Retire Early sounds like it is only for Silicon Valley engineers. It is not. With a median US household income of $74,580, retiring by 45 is achievable — but requires a specific, mathematical approach.

The FIRE formula

FIRE Number = Annual Expenses x 25
If you spend $45,000/year, you need $1,125,000 invested. At a 4% safe withdrawal rate, that portfolio supports your lifestyle indefinitely.

The savings rate is everything

Savings rateYears to FIRE (from zero)
10%51 years
25%32 years
40%22 years
50%17 years
60%12 years
70%8 years

To retire at 45 starting at 25, you need roughly 20 years — meaning a savings rate of around 40-45% consistently, assuming a 7% annual return.

The realistic path on median income

Starting at 25 with $0 saved, earning $74,580: Save and invest 40% = $29,832/year. Annual expenses = $44,748. FIRE number = $1,118,700. At 7% average market return: retire at approximately age 46.

How to achieve 40% savings on median income

Housing under 20% of gross income via house-hacking, lower cost-of-living areas, or multi-year savings sprints.

No car payments — buy reliable used vehicles with cash. Transport under 10% of income.

Low-cost index funds — Vanguard, Fidelity ZERO funds. Expense ratios compound over 20 years.

Plug your numbers into our FIRE Calculator to get your personal FIRE number and target retirement date.

Frequently asked questions

What is a realistic FIRE number for most people?
25x your annual expenses. Spending $40,000/year means a FIRE number of $1,000,000. Cut expenses to $35,000 and it drops to $875,000 — a significant difference in timeline.
Is the 4% rule still valid in 2026?
Many FIRE practitioners now use 3-3.5% for retirements of 40+ years. Our calculator lets you adjust the withdrawal rate to model different scenarios.